옵션 시장은 매일 “오늘 가격이 어느 정도까지 움직일 수 있나?”를 내재 변동성(IV)으로 가격에 반영합니다.
이 글은 2026년 6월 4일 만기(0DTE) 기준, 종목별 Daily Expected Move(±1σ)를 바탕으로 오늘의 변동 폭(리스크)을 한눈에 보도록 정리한 자료입니다.
중요 : 본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
Expected Move(±1σ)란?
- Expected Move(±1σ)는 옵션 시장이 가격에 반영한 “합리적인 하루 변동 범위”로, 통계적으로 약 68% 확률로 포함될 수 있는 구간을 의미합니다.
- 0DTE(오늘 만기)는 만기가 매우 짧아 감마/헤지 수요로 인해 변동이 급가속(스파이크)할 수 있습니다.
- 따라서 이 데이터는 “오를/내릴지”가 아니라 오늘 어디까지 흔들릴 수 있는지(폭)를 보는데 유용합니다.
Expected Move 표 읽는 법
- Ticker : 종목 / ETF 티커(symbol)
- Price : 기준 종가(업데이트 기준일 종가)
- % : Weekly 1σ 기대 변동률
- -1σ / +1σ : 이번 주 예상 하단 / 상단 가격 범위
색상 표시 (Sigma Deviation Highlight)
- 현재 가격이 -1σ 또는 +1σ 범위를 벗어나면 색상으로 표시됩니다.
- 파란색 : 가격이 +1σ 위쪽으로 이탈
- 빨간색 : 가격이 -1σ 아래쪽으로 이탈
- 시그마 범위에서 멀어질수록 색상이 더 진하게 표시됩니다.
- 이는 가격이 예상 변동 범위에서 얼마나 크게 벗어났는지를 빠르게 확인하기 위한 시각적 표시
정렬(Sorting) 방법 (% 컬럼 헤더를 클릭)
- % 모드 (% 버튼 상태) → 예상 변동률 % 기준으로 정렬
- σ 모드 (σ 버튼 상태)
→ 시그마 이탈 정도(Sigma deviation) 기준으로 정렬
→ 가격이 예상 범위에서 가장 크게 벗어난 종목을 빠르게 확인
How to Read the Expected Move Table
- Ticker : Stock/ETF ticker symbol
- Price : Reference closing price (close on the update date)
- % : Weekly 1σ expected move (%)
- -1σ / +1σ : Estimated lower / upper price range for the week
Color Highlight (Sigma Deviation)
- When the current price moves outside the ±1σ range, the row will be highlighted.
- Blue : Price is above +1σ
- Red : Price is below -1σ
- The farther the price moves away from the sigma range, the darker the color becomes.
- This visual highlight helps quickly identify stocks that have moved significantly beyond the expected range.
Sorting (You can sort the table by clicking the % column header.)
- % Mode (% button) → Sort by expected move percentage
- σ Mode (σ button) → Sort by Sigma deviation from the expected range
본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
This table is not a trading signal. It is provided for reference only to help visualize risk (expected price range / volatility).
Daily Expected Move by Sector ETF
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $180.30 | 1.01% | $191.22 | $195.12 |
| XLF | $52.30 | 0.75% | $51.80 | $52.58 |
| XLE | $57.67 | 1.03% | $58.14 | $59.36 |
| XLV | $153.01 | 0.86% | $150.77 | $153.39 |
| XLI | $174.18 | 1.08% | $174.26 | $178.06 |
| XLY | $114.86 | 1.01% | $116.08 | $118.44 |
| XLP | $83.44 | 0.59% | $81.56 | $82.52 |
| XLU | $44.35 | 0.55% | $43.70 | $44.18 |
| XLB | $50.63 | 0.83% | $51.19 | $52.05 |
| XLC | $111.67 | 0.91% | $112.08 | $114.14 |
(Stock Price : 06/05/2026 Close)
XLK : Technology (기술)
XLF : Financials (금융)
XLE : Energy (에너지)
XLV : Health Care (헬스케어)
XLI : Industrials (산업재)
XLY : Consumer Discretionary (경기소비재)
XLP : Consumer Staples (필수소비재)
XLU : Utilities (유틸리티)
XLB : Materials (소재)
XLC : Communication Services (통신/미디어)
XLRE : Real Estate (부동산/리츠)
Daily Expected Move by Ticker
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | $177.00 | 0.91% | $201.04 | $204.74 |
| AAPL | $307.34 | 0.84% | $308.62 | $313.84 |
| ADBE | $251.44 | 1.72% | $254.00 | $262.90 |
| ADI | $401.39 | 1.68% | $421.56 | $435.96 |
| ALAB | $317.06 | 4.27% | $342.76 | $373.34 |
| AMD | $466.38 | 2.65% | $509.34 | $537.06 |
| AMZN | $246.03 | 1.21% | $250.72 | $256.86 |
| ANET | $154.27 | 2.33% | $162.14 | $169.88 |
| APLD | $39.62 | 3.60% | $42.56 | $45.74 |
| APP | $557.20 | 2.58% | $544.45 | $573.29 |
| ARM | $342.93 | 3.65% | $379.08 | $407.80 |
| ASML | $1,641.74 | 1.87% | $1,724.61 | $1,790.33 |
| ASST | $13.92 | 4.09% | $14.41 | $15.63 |
| ASTS | $93.60 | 4.49% | $102.47 | $112.11 |
| AVGO | $385.73 | 2.41% | $408.81 | $429.01 |
| BABA | $121.06 | 1.45% | $124.12 | $127.78 |
| BBAI | $4.20 | 5.36% | $4.51 | $5.03 |
| BE | $263.61 | 5.04% | $276.68 | $306.06 |
| BIDU | $121.66 | 2.11% | $131.96 | $137.64 |
| BLSH | $26.96 | 3.39% | $28.65 | $30.67 |
| BMNR | $15.90 | 2.91% | $17.37 | $18.41 |
| CEG | $254.83 | 1.80% | $259.83 | $269.35 |
| CIEN | $488.21 | 3.93% | $514.58 | $556.68 |
| CIFR | $22.45 | 4.20% | $24.48 | $26.62 |
| CLS | $371.71 | 3.31% | $411.28 | $439.44 |
| CLSK | $15.59 | 3.98% | $16.11 | $17.45 |
| CMCSA | $23.82 | 1.61% | $22.95 | $23.71 |
| COF | $180.67 | 1.44% | $180.56 | $185.84 |
| COHR | $376.99 | 3.88% | $405.53 | $438.27 |
| COIN | $152.40 | 2.65% | $159.78 | $168.48 |
| CRCL | $80.28 | 3.35% | $87.51 | $93.57 |
| CRDO | $206.89 | 4.28% | $208.19 | $226.81 |
| CRM | $185.66 | 1.85% | $185.26 | $192.24 |
| CRSP | $51.84 | 2.70% | $55.41 | $58.49 |
| CRWD | $671.02 | 2.71% | $699.60 | $738.58 |
| CRWV | $100.39 | 3.45% | $104.30 | $111.76 |
| CVNA | $66.51 | 2.81% | $64.33 | $68.05 |
| DDOG | $234.11 | 2.80% | $236.78 | $250.42 |
| DG | $103.70 | 1.92% | $101.53 | $105.51 |
| DUOL | $109.03 | 2.94% | $105.94 | $112.36 |
| ETN | $395.94 | 1.54% | $412.16 | $425.06 |
| FIG | $21.75 | 3.39% | $21.75 | $23.27 |
| GDX | $78.84 | 1.46% | $85.14 | $87.66 |
| GE | $328.00 | 1.41% | $323.03 | $332.27 |
| GEV | $933.61 | 1.93% | $944.74 | $981.92 |
| GLW | $177.58 | 3.06% | $191.65 | $203.75 |
| GOOG | $365.76 | 1.20% | $364.84 | $373.70 |
| HIMS | $26.19 | 3.20% | $27.11 | $28.91 |
| HOOD | $82.47 | 2.87% | $85.79 | $90.87 |
| INOD | $101.97 | 4.33% | $116.24 | $126.76 |
| INTC | $99.17 | 2.94% | $108.49 | $115.07 |
| IONQ | $56.78 | 4.82% | $62.50 | $68.82 |
| IREN | $54.35 | 4.07% | $59.34 | $64.38 |
| IWM | $281.65 | 0.10% | $291.72 | $292.30 |
| JOBY | $9.55 | 3.40% | $10.76 | $11.52 |
| LAC | $4.53 | 3.63% | $4.91 | $5.29 |
| LAES | $3.20 | 5.25% | $3.46 | $3.84 |
| LITE | $863.66 | 3.69% | $910.21 | $979.95 |
| LLY | $1,131.42 | 1.54% | $1,107.94 | $1,142.60 |
| LMND | $51.46 | 2.68% | $50.19 | $52.95 |
| LRCX | $303.28 | 2.52% | $327.93 | $344.89 |
| LULU | $114.23 | 8.39% | $114.44 | $135.40 |
| LUNR | $29.36 | 5.29% | $31.85 | $35.41 |
| MARA | $12.32 | 3.34% | $13.42 | $14.34 |
| META | $593.00 | 1.32% | $619.29 | $635.85 |
| MP | $59.18 | 2.91% | $63.56 | $67.36 |
| MRVL | $263.47 | 6.18% | $296.87 | $335.99 |
| MSFT | $416.67 | 1.18% | $423.00 | $433.10 |
| MSTR | $120.44 | 3.35% | $125.04 | $133.70 |
| MU | $864.01 | 3.59% | $960.24 | $1,031.76 |
| NBIS | $227.81 | 4.39% | $248.27 | $271.07 |
| NEE | $85.84 | 1.52% | $84.38 | $86.98 |
| NFLX | $82.18 | 1.31% | $80.49 | $82.63 |
| NNE | $23.56 | 4.65% | $24.94 | $27.38 |
| NOK | $14.38 | 3.30% | $16.07 | $17.17 |
| NOW | $112.45 | 2.72% | $116.11 | $122.61 |
| NVDA | $205.10 | 1.39% | $215.62 | $221.70 |
| NVO | $42.96 | 1.67% | $43.02 | $44.48 |
| OKLO | $58.09 | 3.94% | $62.81 | $67.97 |
| ONDS | $10.43 | 3.97% | $11.49 | $12.45 |
| OPEN | $4.42 | 3.96% | $4.75 | $5.15 |
| ORCL | $213.68 | 2.47% | $230.50 | $242.18 |
| PFE | $26.04 | 1.25% | $25.37 | $26.01 |
| PLTR | $135.53 | 1.93% | $138.97 | $144.43 |
| POET | $11.86 | 6.08% | $14.54 | $16.42 |
| PONY | $8.62 | 3.50% | $9.23 | $9.89 |
| QBTS | $23.85 | 4.49% | $26.40 | $28.88 |
| QQQ | $705.06 | 0.68% | $735.57 | $745.65 |
| QS | $7.67 | 4.17% | $8.70 | $9.46 |
| QUBT | $9.96 | 4.52% | $10.68 | $11.70 |
| RBLX | $41.82 | 2.24% | $42.38 | $44.32 |
| RCAT | $12.68 | 5.09% | $13.99 | $15.49 |
| RDDT | $173.45 | 2.99% | $178.41 | $189.41 |
| RDW | $18.45 | 6.26% | $20.09 | $22.77 |
| RGTI | $20.68 | 4.83% | $22.99 | $25.33 |
| RKLB | $110.08 | 3.79% | $115.40 | $124.50 |
| SATS | $116.28 | 2.91% | $121.01 | $128.27 |
| SERV | $7.75 | 4.01% | $8.07 | $8.75 |
| SHOP | $109.54 | 2.27% | $113.41 | $118.67 |
| SMCI | $41.64 | 2.99% | $45.50 | $48.30 |
| SMR | $10.50 | 4.32% | $11.48 | $12.52 |
| SNDK | $1,559.32 | 3.76% | $1,693.52 | $1,825.84 |
| SNOW | $238.26 | 2.17% | $238.88 | $249.48 |
| SO | $92.60 | 1.50% | $90.25 | $92.99 |
| SOFI | $16.03 | 2.27% | $16.76 | $17.54 |
| SOUN | $7.39 | 3.07% | $7.76 | $8.26 |
| SOXX | $539.77 | 2.04% | $590.42 | $615.02 |
| SPY | $737.55 | 0.41% | $753.99 | $760.19 |
| TE | $9.43 | 6.20% | $10.94 | $12.38 |
| TEM | $46.43 | 3.30% | $50.54 | $53.98 |
| TER | $357.93 | 2.87% | $395.18 | $418.54 |
| TLN | $364.74 | 2.55% | $368.44 | $387.72 |
| TSLA | $391.00 | 1.66% | $411.50 | $425.40 |
| TSM | $415.17 | 1.73% | $437.22 | $452.62 |
| TTD | $19.95 | 2.67% | $20.47 | $21.59 |
| U | $29.17 | 2.77% | $29.20 | $30.86 |
| UMAC | $26.70 | 5.89% | $30.40 | $34.20 |
| UNH | $399.47 | 1.18% | $391.79 | $401.15 |
| UPST | $29.74 | 2.91% | $31.33 | $33.21 |
| USAR | $22.47 | 4.15% | $25.98 | $28.22 |
| UUUU | $14.80 | 3.11% | $16.83 | $17.91 |
| VRT | $300.51 | 2.50% | $315.82 | $332.02 |
| VST | $148.76 | 2.11% | $150.46 | $156.94 |
| VXX | $25.21 | 1.28% | $23.20 | $23.80 |
| WDC | $511.72 | 3.15% | $557.37 | $593.63 |
| WMT | $118.88 | 1.01% | $116.55 | $118.93 |
| WULF | $24.00 | 3.70% | $25.22 | $27.16 |
(Stock Price : 06/05/2026 Close)
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Expected Move 데이터는 주 2회 정기 업데이트됩니다.
- Weekly Expected Move: 매주 금요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Daily Expected Move: 매주 목요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Price(종가): 매 거래일 장 마감 후 업데이트
종가가 ±σ 범위를 벗어난 경우 표시합니다.
- 종가가 -σ 이하: 티커/Price 빨간색 표시
- 종가가 +σ 이상: 티커/Price 파란색 표시
Expected Move data is updated twice per week on a regular schedule.
- Weekly Expected Move: Updated after market close every Friday
- Daily Expected Move: Updated after market close every Thursday
- Price (Close): Updated after market close on each trading day
If the closing price moves outside the ±σ range, it will be highlighted:
- Close at or below -σ: Ticker/Price shown in red
- Close at or above +σ: Ticker/Price shown in blue
본 콘텐츠는 정보 제공 목적이며, 투자 판단 책임은 사용자 본인에게 있습니다.
This content is provided for informational purposes only, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.