옵션 시장은 “이번 주에 가격이 어느 정도 범위로 움직일 수 있는가?”를 내재 변동성(IV)에 반영합니다.
이 글은 2026년 6월 5일 기준(업데이트 기준일 종가)으로 산출된 Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)를 바탕으로, 이번 주의 리스크(변동 폭)를 구조적으로 정리한 자료입니다.
Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)란?
- Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)는 “향후 1주(해당 주 만기 기준) 동안” 가격이 통계적으로 약 68% 확률로 포함될 수 있는 변동 범위를 의미합니다.
- Daily(0DTE)보다 시간축이 길어 이벤트/실적/매크로가 더 반영되며, 종목 특성에 따라 “완만한 추세” 혹은 “급변 후 안정”처럼 다른 형태로 움직일 수 있습니다.
Expected Move 표 읽는 법
- Ticker : 종목 / ETF 티커(symbol)
- Price : 기준 종가(업데이트 기준일 종가)
- % : Weekly 1σ 기대 변동률
- -1σ / +1σ : 이번 주 예상 하단 / 상단 가격 범위
색상 표시 (Sigma Deviation Highlight)
- 현재 가격이 -1σ 또는 +1σ 범위를 벗어나면 색상으로 표시됩니다.
- 파란색 : 가격이 +1σ 위쪽으로 이탈
- 빨간색 : 가격이 -1σ 아래쪽으로 이탈
- 시그마 범위에서 멀어질수록 색상이 더 진하게 표시됩니다.
- 이는 가격이 예상 변동 범위에서 얼마나 크게 벗어났는지를 빠르게 확인하기 위한 시각적 표시
정렬(Sorting) 방법 (% 컬럼 헤더를 클릭)
- % 모드 (% 버튼 상태) → 예상 변동률 % 기준으로 정렬
- σ 모드 (σ 버튼 상태)
→ 시그마 이탈 정도(Sigma deviation) 기준으로 정렬
→ 가격이 예상 범위에서 가장 크게 벗어난 종목을 빠르게 확인
How to Read the Expected Move Table
- Ticker : Stock/ETF ticker symbol
- Price : Reference closing price (close on the update date)
- % : Weekly 1σ expected move (%)
- -1σ / +1σ : Estimated lower / upper price range for the week
Color Highlight (Sigma Deviation)
- When the current price moves outside the ±1σ range, the row will be highlighted.
- Blue : Price is above +1σ
- Red : Price is below -1σ
- The farther the price moves away from the sigma range, the darker the color becomes.
- This visual highlight helps quickly identify stocks that have moved significantly beyond the expected range.
Sorting (You can sort the table by clicking the % column header.)
- % Mode (% button) → Sort by expected move percentage
- σ Mode (σ button) → Sort by Sigma deviation from the expected range
본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
This table is not a trading signal. It is provided for reference only to help visualize risk (expected price range / volatility).
Weekly Expected Move by Sector ETF
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $198.21 | 2.21% | $186.80 | $195.24 |
| XLF | $51.46 | 1.42% | $50.85 | $52.31 |
| XLE | $57.96 | 2.47% | $54.90 | $57.68 |
| XLV | $146.40 | 1.43% | $147.33 | $151.61 |
| XLI | $174.19 | 2.07% | $169.55 | $176.71 |
| XLY | $117.59 | 1.65% | $118.88 | $122.86 |
| XLP | $81.83 | 1.43% | $81.72 | $84.10 |
| XLU | $43.90 | 1.45% | $43.78 | $45.06 |
| XLB | $51.52 | 1.83% | $50.21 | $52.09 |
| XLC | $113.57 | 1.34% | $114.14 | $117.24 |
(Stock Price : 06/02/2026 Close)
XLK : Technology (기술)
XLF : Financials (금융)
XLE : Energy (에너지)
XLV : Health Care (헬스케어)
XLI : Industrials (산업재)
XLY : Consumer Discretionary (경기소비재)
XLP : Consumer Staples (필수소비재)
XLU : Utilities (유틸리티)
XLB : Materials (소재)
XLC : Communication Services (통신/미디어)
XLRE : Real Estate (부동산/리츠)
Weekly Expected Move by Ticker
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | $202.37 | 11.60% | $140.03 | $176.79 |
| AAPL | $315.20 | 1.79% | $306.47 | $317.65 |
| ADBE | $262.11 | 4.30% | $248.06 | $270.36 |
| ADI | $423.20 | 4.25% | $396.26 | $431.44 |
| ALAB | $355.76 | 9.72% | $309.52 | $376.18 |
| AMD | $521.54 | 6.88% | $480.59 | $551.61 |
| AMZN | $256.52 | 2.63% | $263.52 | $277.76 |
| ANET | $175.33 | 5.11% | $151.32 | $167.62 |
| APLD | $47.86 | 9.22% | $42.92 | $51.64 |
| APP | $605.63 | 6.75% | $571.71 | $654.47 |
| ARM | $402.71 | 9.42% | $320.01 | $386.57 |
| ASML | $1,705.37 | 4.52% | $1,539.86 | $1,685.66 |
| ASST | $16.12 | 8.43% | $16.18 | $19.16 |
| ASTS | $118.17 | 10.68% | $101.30 | $125.52 |
| AVGO | $481.57 | 8.24% | $409.96 | $483.58 |
| BABA | $130.82 | 3.48% | $119.90 | $128.54 |
| BBAI | $5.11 | 9.67% | $4.55 | $5.53 |
| BE | $302.85 | 11.56% | $252.05 | $317.95 |
| BIDU | $136.72 | 4.59% | $129.10 | $141.52 |
| BLSH | $30.54 | 5.32% | $33.05 | $36.77 |
| BMNR | $17.97 | 6.28% | $18.06 | $20.48 |
| CEG | $272.65 | 4.38% | $275.15 | $300.35 |
| CIEN | $627.00 | 13.76% | $500.39 | $660.07 |
| CIFR | $26.29 | 9.63% | $21.37 | $25.93 |
| CLS | $472.40 | 7.46% | $356.64 | $414.14 |
| CLSK | $17.58 | 9.23% | $16.60 | $19.98 |
| CMCSA | $24.85 | 2.83% | $24.17 | $25.57 |
| COF | $183.84 | 3.01% | $182.27 | $193.59 |
| COHR | $426.89 | 8.03% | $332.44 | $390.50 |
| COIN | $173.99 | 6.03% | $177.63 | $200.43 |
| CRCL | $100.85 | 8.01% | $103.95 | $122.05 |
| CRDO | $229.00 | 15.90% | $198.50 | $273.56 |
| CRM | $200.84 | 4.45% | $182.60 | $199.60 |
| CRSP | $52.02 | 4.99% | $53.38 | $58.98 |
| CRWD | $768.95 | 8.84% | $666.38 | $795.62 |
| CRWV | $119.27 | 8.73% | $99.97 | $119.09 |
| CVNA | $65.60 | 6.22% | $68.46 | $77.54 |
| DDOG | $269.13 | 6.09% | $232.29 | $262.41 |
| DG | $106.27 | 8.63% | $101.06 | $120.16 |
| DUOL | $109.95 | 5.94% | $104.75 | $117.97 |
| ETN | $417.62 | 3.57% | $386.30 | $414.90 |
| FIG | $24.29 | 8.10% | $23.43 | $27.57 |
| GDX | $88.05 | 4.12% | $85.80 | $93.18 |
| GE | $317.72 | 3.05% | $313.89 | $333.63 |
| GEV | $969.67 | 4.54% | $924.36 | $1,012.28 |
| GLW | $200.40 | 7.24% | $168.04 | $194.28 |
| GOOG | $358.39 | 2.58% | $366.72 | $386.14 |
| HIMS | $27.51 | 7.39% | $24.22 | $28.08 |
| HOOD | $88.16 | 6.59% | $88.09 | $100.51 |
| INOD | $114.22 | 9.65% | $94.85 | $115.11 |
| INTC | $107.93 | 8.13% | $105.36 | $124.00 |
| IONQ | $71.40 | 9.89% | $64.94 | $79.20 |
| IREN | $66.60 | 9.94% | $57.22 | $69.86 |
| IWM | $291.66 | 1.74% | $285.38 | $295.48 |
| JOBY | $11.87 | 7.56% | $11.00 | $12.80 |
| LAC | $5.75 | 7.19% | $4.84 | $5.58 |
| LAES | $3.71 | 9.17% | $3.16 | $3.80 |
| LITE | $1,029.15 | 9.04% | $777.67 | $932.25 |
| LLY | $1,064.15 | 2.94% | $1,072.51 | $1,137.49 |
| LMND | $58.06 | 6.50% | $54.23 | $61.77 |
| LRCX | $334.41 | 5.86% | $299.53 | $336.83 |
| LULU | $126.47 | 8.63% | $119.86 | $142.50 |
| LUNR | $39.57 | 11.69% | $38.71 | $48.95 |
| MARA | $14.28 | 7.29% | $13.33 | $15.43 |
| META | $597.63 | 2.95% | $613.85 | $651.17 |
| MP | $72.24 | 6.63% | $60.41 | $68.99 |
| MRVL | $290.79 | 8.74% | $187.08 | $222.92 |
| MSFT | $441.31 | 3.17% | $435.97 | $464.51 |
| MSTR | $136.08 | 6.19% | $149.24 | $168.94 |
| MU | $1,064.10 | 9.51% | $878.66 | $1,063.34 |
| NBIS | $260.58 | 10.01% | $207.96 | $254.22 |
| NEE | $85.68 | 2.54% | $84.80 | $89.22 |
| NFLX | $83.33 | 2.76% | $83.65 | $88.39 |
| NNE | $30.57 | 10.01% | $25.99 | $31.77 |
| NOK | $16.85 | 7.92% | $13.66 | $16.02 |
| NOW | $127.65 | 6.28% | $116.56 | $132.18 |
| NVDA | $222.82 | 4.07% | $202.55 | $219.73 |
| NVO | $42.92 | 3.36% | $44.05 | $47.11 |
| OKLO | $73.47 | 8.39% | $61.27 | $72.49 |
| ONDS | $13.58 | 10.47% | $11.84 | $14.60 |
| OPEN | $5.41 | 7.09% | $4.68 | $5.40 |
| ORCL | $244.58 | 6.10% | $212.01 | $239.55 |
| PFE | $25.55 | 2.00% | $25.66 | $26.70 |
| PLTR | $152.17 | 5.09% | $148.57 | $164.51 |
| POET | $13.82 | 13.11% | $10.68 | $13.90 |
| PONY | $10.83 | 8.43% | $9.18 | $10.88 |
| QBTS | $29.91 | 12.07% | $26.50 | $33.78 |
| QQQ | $746.16 | 1.71% | $725.68 | $750.94 |
| QS | $9.20 | 9.09% | $8.16 | $9.80 |
| QUBT | $12.25 | 10.15% | $10.75 | $13.17 |
| RBLX | $45.00 | 5.67% | $44.48 | $49.82 |
| RCAT | $14.95 | 12.70% | $12.66 | $16.34 |
| RDDT | $169.13 | 6.50% | $164.56 | $187.44 |
| RDW | $20.58 | 15.49% | $20.76 | $28.38 |
| RGTI | $26.88 | 10.95% | $22.74 | $28.34 |
| RKLB | $123.32 | 9.50% | $129.85 | $157.11 |
| SATS | $123.55 | 6.86% | $120.33 | $138.05 |
| SERV | $9.07 | 10.29% | $8.39 | $10.31 |
| SHOP | $116.99 | 5.10% | $112.66 | $124.76 |
| SMCI | $50.17 | 8.92% | $41.98 | $50.20 |
| SMR | $13.95 | 9.77% | $11.43 | $13.91 |
| SNDK | $1,716.36 | 9.50% | $1,533.96 | $1,856.00 |
| SNOW | $261.14 | 6.57% | $238.76 | $272.34 |
| SO | $90.51 | 1.57% | $90.60 | $93.50 |
| SOFI | $17.74 | 5.36% | $17.24 | $19.20 |
| SOUN | $8.82 | 8.13% | $8.27 | $9.73 |
| SOXX | $605.02 | 4.99% | $540.68 | $597.48 |
| SPY | $759.57 | 1.02% | $748.76 | $764.20 |
| TE | $12.04 | 13.67% | $9.12 | $12.00 |
| TEM | $49.62 | 6.93% | $46.97 | $53.97 |
| TER | $392.62 | 7.33% | $346.87 | $401.75 |
| TLN | $385.51 | 5.29% | $366.34 | $407.26 |
| TSLA | $423.74 | 3.62% | $420.01 | $451.57 |
| TSM | $446.69 | 4.11% | $401.25 | $435.65 |
| TTD | $21.10 | 5.91% | $20.29 | $22.83 |
| U | $30.77 | 6.69% | $28.43 | $32.51 |
| UMAC | $33.42 | 19.30% | $25.65 | $37.91 |
| UNH | $377.92 | 2.52% | $370.73 | $389.89 |
| UPST | $32.39 | 6.82% | $31.49 | $36.09 |
| USAR | $30.70 | 10.25% | $25.14 | $30.88 |
| UUUU | $19.54 | 7.59% | $16.84 | $19.60 |
| VRT | $334.49 | 5.90% | $297.08 | $334.34 |
| VST | $157.97 | 4.74% | $152.64 | $167.82 |
| VXX | $24.37 | 4.25% | $23.11 | $25.17 |
| WDC | $563.10 | 7.83% | $489.62 | $572.80 |
| WMT | $113.06 | 2.25% | $113.15 | $118.35 |
| WULF | $26.49 | 7.73% | $23.58 | $27.54 |
(Stock Price : 06/02/2026 Close)
레버리지 ETF 계산기 보기 / Explore Leveraged ETF Calculators
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Expected Move 데이터는 주 2회 정기 업데이트됩니다.
- Weekly Expected Move: 매주 금요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Daily Expected Move: 매주 목요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Price(종가): 매 거래일 장 마감 후 업데이트
Expected Move data is updated twice per week on a regular schedule.
- Weekly Expected Move: Updated after market close every Friday
- Daily Expected Move: Updated after market close every Thursday
- Price (Close): Updated after market close on each trading day
본 콘텐츠는 정보 제공 목적이며, 투자 판단 책임은 사용자 본인에게 있습니다.
This content is provided for informational purposes only, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.