옵션 시장은 매일 “오늘 가격이 어느 정도까지 움직일 수 있나?”를 내재 변동성(IV)으로 가격에 반영합니다.
이 글은 2026년 5월 29일 만기(0DTE) 기준, 종목별 Daily Expected Move(±1σ)를 바탕으로 오늘의 변동 폭(리스크)을 한눈에 보도록 정리한 자료입니다.
중요 : 본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
Expected Move(±1σ)란?
- Expected Move(±1σ)는 옵션 시장이 가격에 반영한 “합리적인 하루 변동 범위”로, 통계적으로 약 68% 확률로 포함될 수 있는 구간을 의미합니다.
- 0DTE(오늘 만기)는 만기가 매우 짧아 감마/헤지 수요로 인해 변동이 급가속(스파이크)할 수 있습니다.
- 따라서 이 데이터는 “오를/내릴지”가 아니라 오늘 어디까지 흔들릴 수 있는지(폭)를 보는데 유용합니다.
Expected Move 표 읽는 법
- Ticker : 종목 / ETF 티커(symbol)
- Price : 기준 종가(업데이트 기준일 종가)
- % : Weekly 1σ 기대 변동률
- -1σ / +1σ : 이번 주 예상 하단 / 상단 가격 범위
색상 표시 (Sigma Deviation Highlight)
- 현재 가격이 -1σ 또는 +1σ 범위를 벗어나면 색상으로 표시됩니다.
- 파란색 : 가격이 +1σ 위쪽으로 이탈
- 빨간색 : 가격이 -1σ 아래쪽으로 이탈
- 시그마 범위에서 멀어질수록 색상이 더 진하게 표시됩니다.
- 이는 가격이 예상 변동 범위에서 얼마나 크게 벗어났는지를 빠르게 확인하기 위한 시각적 표시
정렬(Sorting) 방법 (% 컬럼 헤더를 클릭)
- % 모드 (% 버튼 상태) → 예상 변동률 % 기준으로 정렬
- σ 모드 (σ 버튼 상태)
→ 시그마 이탈 정도(Sigma deviation) 기준으로 정렬
→ 가격이 예상 범위에서 가장 크게 벗어난 종목을 빠르게 확인
How to Read the Expected Move Table
- Ticker : Stock/ETF ticker symbol
- Price : Reference closing price (close on the update date)
- % : Weekly 1σ expected move (%)
- -1σ / +1σ : Estimated lower / upper price range for the week
Color Highlight (Sigma Deviation)
- When the current price moves outside the ±1σ range, the row will be highlighted.
- Blue : Price is above +1σ
- Red : Price is below -1σ
- The farther the price moves away from the sigma range, the darker the color becomes.
- This visual highlight helps quickly identify stocks that have moved significantly beyond the expected range.
Sorting (You can sort the table by clicking the % column header.)
- % Mode (% button) → Sort by expected move percentage
- σ Mode (σ button) → Sort by Sigma deviation from the expected range
본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
This table is not a trading signal. It is provided for reference only to help visualize risk (expected price range / volatility).
Daily Expected Move by Sector ETF
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $191.02 | 1.03% | $184.93 | $188.77 |
| XLF | $51.58 | 0.68% | $50.92 | $51.62 |
| XLE | $56.29 | 0.85% | $56.47 | $57.43 |
| XLV | $149.47 | 0.49% | $150.14 | $151.62 |
| XLI | $173.13 | 1.07% | $171.94 | $175.66 |
| XLY | $120.87 | 1.02% | $120.81 | $123.31 |
| XLP | $82.91 | 0.64% | $83.89 | $84.97 |
| XLU | $44.42 | 1.02% | $44.17 | $45.09 |
| XLB | $51.15 | 0.83% | $50.93 | $51.79 |
| XLC | $115.69 | 0.66% | $115.90 | $117.44 |
(Stock Price : 05/29/2026 Close)
XLK : Technology (기술)
XLF : Financials (금융)
XLE : Energy (에너지)
XLV : Health Care (헬스케어)
XLI : Industrials (산업재)
XLY : Consumer Discretionary (경기소비재)
XLP : Consumer Staples (필수소비재)
XLU : Utilities (유틸리티)
XLB : Materials (소재)
XLC : Communication Services (통신/미디어)
XLRE : Real Estate (부동산/리츠)
Daily Expected Move by Ticker
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | $158.41 | 4.79% | $160.92 | $177.12 |
| AAPL | $312.06 | 0.75% | $310.17 | $314.85 |
| ADBE | $259.21 | 1.76% | $237.19 | $245.69 |
| ADI | $413.85 | 1.84% | $411.30 | $426.72 |
| ALAB | $342.85 | 4.15% | $334.68 | $363.66 |
| AMD | $516.10 | 2.78% | $503.69 | $532.49 |
| AMZN | $270.64 | 1.12% | $270.93 | $277.07 |
| ANET | $159.47 | 2.12% | $151.98 | $158.56 |
| APLD | $47.28 | 4.00% | $47.66 | $51.64 |
| APP | $613.09 | 2.75% | $583.39 | $616.39 |
| ARM | $353.29 | 3.74% | $322.73 | $347.81 |
| ASML | $1,612.76 | 1.81% | $1,576.71 | $1,634.83 |
| ASST | $17.67 | 4.02% | $17.08 | $18.52 |
| ASTS | $113.41 | 4.72% | $126.81 | $139.37 |
| AVGO | $446.77 | 1.79% | $418.94 | $434.22 |
| BABA | $124.22 | 1.55% | $124.20 | $128.12 |
| BBAI | $5.04 | 6.03% | $4.64 | $5.24 |
| BE | $285.00 | 4.37% | $277.34 | $302.68 |
| BIDU | $135.31 | 2.04% | $129.36 | $134.74 |
| BLSH | $34.91 | 3.51% | $34.56 | $37.08 |
| BMNR | $19.27 | 2.80% | $18.71 | $19.79 |
| CEG | $287.75 | 1.97% | $280.67 | $291.95 |
| CIEN | $580.23 | 3.92% | $547.83 | $592.53 |
| CIFR | $23.65 | 3.72% | $23.68 | $25.50 |
| CLS | $385.39 | 2.85% | $341.02 | $361.02 |
| CLSK | $18.29 | 3.46% | $17.51 | $18.77 |
| CMCSA | $24.87 | 1.02% | $24.90 | $25.42 |
| COF | $187.93 | 1.17% | $184.83 | $189.21 |
| COHR | $361.47 | 3.82% | $362.55 | $391.35 |
| COIN | $189.03 | 2.44% | $177.80 | $186.70 |
| CRCL | $113.00 | 3.18% | $104.80 | $111.68 |
| CRDO | $236.03 | 4.19% | $213.03 | $231.67 |
| CRM | $191.10 | 2.05% | $172.56 | $179.78 |
| CRSP | $56.18 | 1.75% | $55.39 | $57.37 |
| CRWD | $731.00 | 2.01% | $657.51 | $684.49 |
| CRWV | $109.53 | 3.44% | $103.18 | $110.54 |
| CVNA | $73.00 | 2.58% | $71.59 | $75.39 |
| DDOG | $247.35 | 2.78% | $218.98 | $231.50 |
| DG | $110.61 | 1.38% | $108.38 | $111.42 |
| DUOL | $111.36 | 2.29% | $106.18 | $111.16 |
| ETN | $400.60 | 1.48% | $395.99 | $407.89 |
| FIG | $25.50 | 3.80% | $22.57 | $24.35 |
| GDX | $89.49 | 1.84% | $85.58 | $88.78 |
| GE | $323.76 | 1.53% | $315.91 | $325.73 |
| GEV | $968.32 | 1.95% | $976.58 | $1,015.42 |
| GLW | $181.16 | 2.70% | $178.03 | $187.91 |
| GOOG | $376.43 | 1.02% | $382.18 | $390.06 |
| HIMS | $26.15 | 2.85% | $24.66 | $26.10 |
| HOOD | $94.30 | 2.85% | $82.42 | $87.26 |
| INOD | $104.98 | 4.32% | $95.06 | $103.64 |
| INTC | $114.68 | 3.22% | $117.00 | $124.78 |
| IONQ | $72.07 | 4.39% | $67.06 | $73.22 |
| IREN | $63.54 | 4.06% | $61.45 | $66.65 |
| IWM | $290.43 | 0.70% | $289.99 | $294.07 |
| JOBY | $11.90 | 3.54% | $11.86 | $12.74 |
| LAC | $5.21 | 4.45% | $4.92 | $5.38 |
| LAES | $3.48 | 6.28% | $3.49 | $3.95 |
| LITE | $854.96 | 3.62% | $829.47 | $891.77 |
| LLY | $1,105.00 | 1.38% | $1,111.25 | $1,142.35 |
| LMND | $58.00 | 2.70% | $56.47 | $59.61 |
| LRCX | $318.18 | 2.80% | $309.10 | $326.90 |
| LULU | $131.18 | 1.60% | $129.23 | $133.43 |
| LUNR | $43.83 | 6.01% | $42.95 | $48.45 |
| MARA | $14.38 | 2.84% | $13.67 | $14.47 |
| META | $632.51 | 1.18% | $627.79 | $642.79 |
| MP | $64.70 | 2.85% | $64.93 | $68.73 |
| MRVL | $205.00 | 3.99% | $196.66 | $213.00 |
| MSFT | $450.24 | 1.38% | $421.10 | $432.88 |
| MSTR | $159.09 | 2.59% | $147.71 | $155.57 |
| MU | $971.00 | 3.59% | $890.37 | $956.67 |
| NBIS | $231.09 | 4.03% | $217.22 | $235.46 |
| NEE | $87.01 | 1.10% | $86.29 | $88.21 |
| NFLX | $86.02 | 1.08% | $85.43 | $87.29 |
| NNE | $28.88 | 5.24% | $27.15 | $30.15 |
| NOK | $14.84 | 3.41% | $14.76 | $15.80 |
| NOW | $124.37 | 2.52% | $105.99 | $111.47 |
| NVDA | $211.14 | 1.35% | $211.36 | $217.14 |
| NVO | $45.58 | 1.30% | $44.92 | $46.10 |
| OKLO | $66.88 | 3.85% | $65.47 | $70.71 |
| ONDS | $13.22 | 4.96% | $12.59 | $13.91 |
| OPEN | $5.04 | 3.74% | $4.88 | $5.26 |
| ORCL | $225.78 | 2.35% | $198.91 | $208.49 |
| PFE | $26.18 | 1.06% | $25.86 | $26.42 |
| PLTR | $156.54 | 1.95% | $140.54 | $146.14 |
| POET | $12.29 | 6.43% | $12.41 | $14.11 |
| PONY | $10.03 | 3.65% | $9.60 | $10.32 |
| QBTS | $30.14 | 5.02% | $28.01 | $30.97 |
| QQQ | $738.31 | 0.69% | $730.52 | $740.68 |
| QS | $8.98 | 4.11% | $8.75 | $9.51 |
| QUBT | $11.96 | 4.47% | $11.69 | $12.79 |
| RBLX | $47.15 | 2.31% | $45.75 | $47.91 |
| RCAT | $14.50 | 6.02% | $13.30 | $15.00 |
| RDDT | $176.00 | 2.86% | $162.89 | $172.49 |
| RDW | $24.57 | 6.05% | $24.33 | $27.47 |
| RGTI | $25.54 | 5.24% | $25.61 | $28.45 |
| RKLB | $143.48 | 3.88% | $142.29 | $153.77 |
| SATS | $129.19 | 2.31% | $128.04 | $134.10 |
| SERV | $9.35 | 5.11% | $9.01 | $9.97 |
| SHOP | $118.71 | 2.28% | $112.41 | $117.65 |
| SMCI | $46.09 | 3.79% | $39.73 | $42.87 |
| SMR | $12.67 | 4.08% | $11.69 | $12.69 |
| SNDK | $1,694.98 | 3.57% | $1,583.03 | $1,700.25 |
| SNOW | $255.55 | 3.12% | $231.74 | $246.66 |
| SO | $92.05 | 0.87% | $91.72 | $93.32 |
| SOFI | $18.22 | 2.17% | $16.60 | $17.34 |
| SOUN | $9.00 | 3.17% | $8.29 | $8.83 |
| SOXX | $569.08 | 1.84% | $558.99 | $579.95 |
| SPY | $756.48 | 0.41% | $751.51 | $757.69 |
| TE | $10.56 | 7.25% | $10.04 | $11.60 |
| TEM | $50.47 | 4.28% | $49.09 | $53.49 |
| TER | $374.31 | 3.22% | $370.33 | $394.97 |
| TLN | $386.80 | 2.24% | $372.93 | $390.01 |
| TSLA | $435.79 | 1.61% | $434.98 | $449.22 |
| TSM | $418.45 | 1.65% | $417.85 | $431.87 |
| TTD | $21.56 | 2.72% | $20.57 | $21.73 |
| U | $30.47 | 2.95% | $29.06 | $30.82 |
| UMAC | $31.78 | 2.79% | $28.77 | $30.43 |
| UNH | $380.31 | 1.05% | $378.51 | $386.55 |
| UPST | $33.79 | 2.89% | $31.75 | $33.63 |
| USAR | $28.01 | 4.00% | $27.06 | $29.32 |
| UUUU | $18.22 | 2.69% | $17.94 | $18.94 |
| VRT | $315.71 | 2.23% | $307.17 | $321.19 |
| VST | $160.23 | 1.80% | $157.39 | $163.17 |
| VXX | $24.14 | 1.45% | $24.20 | $24.92 |
| WDC | $531.21 | 2.78% | $516.41 | $545.95 |
| WMT | $115.75 | 0.84% | $117.90 | $119.90 |
| WULF | $25.56 | 3.50% | $25.48 | $27.32 |
(Stock Price : 05/29/2026 Close)
레버리지 ETF 계산기 보기 / Explore Leveraged ETF Calculators
Index Leveraged ETF Calculator
( QQQ • SOXX • IWM )
Mega-Cap Leveraged ETF Cal 1
( TSLA • META • AAPL )
Mega-Cap Leveraged ETF Cal 2
( NVDA • MSFT • AMZN )
AI/Momentum Leveraged ETF Cal 1
( AVGO • ORCL • IONQ )
Expected Move 데이터는 주 2회 정기 업데이트됩니다.
- Weekly Expected Move: 매주 금요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Daily Expected Move: 매주 목요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Price(종가): 매 거래일 장 마감 후 업데이트
종가가 ±σ 범위를 벗어난 경우 표시합니다.
- 종가가 -σ 이하: 티커/Price 빨간색 표시
- 종가가 +σ 이상: 티커/Price 파란색 표시
Expected Move data is updated twice per week on a regular schedule.
- Weekly Expected Move: Updated after market close every Friday
- Daily Expected Move: Updated after market close every Thursday
- Price (Close): Updated after market close on each trading day
If the closing price moves outside the ±σ range, it will be highlighted:
- Close at or below -σ: Ticker/Price shown in red
- Close at or above +σ: Ticker/Price shown in blue
본 콘텐츠는 정보 제공 목적이며, 투자 판단 책임은 사용자 본인에게 있습니다.
This content is provided for informational purposes only, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.