옵션 시장은 매일 “오늘 가격이 어느 정도까지 움직일 수 있나?”를 내재 변동성(IV)으로 가격에 반영합니다.
이 글은 2026년 6월 12일 만기(0DTE) 기준, 종목별 Daily Expected Move(±1σ)를 바탕으로 오늘의 변동 폭(리스크)을 한눈에 보도록 정리한 자료입니다.
중요 : 본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
Expected Move(±1σ)란?
- Expected Move(±1σ)는 옵션 시장이 가격에 반영한 “합리적인 하루 변동 범위”로, 통계적으로 약 68% 확률로 포함될 수 있는 구간을 의미합니다.
- 0DTE(오늘 만기)는 만기가 매우 짧아 감마/헤지 수요로 인해 변동이 급가속(스파이크)할 수 있습니다.
- 따라서 이 데이터는 “오를/내릴지”가 아니라 오늘 어디까지 흔들릴 수 있는지(폭)를 보는데 유용합니다.
Expected Move 표 읽는 법
- Ticker : 종목 / ETF 티커(symbol)
- Price : 기준 종가(업데이트 기준일 종가)
- % : Weekly 1σ 기대 변동률
- -1σ / +1σ : 이번 주 예상 하단 / 상단 가격 범위
색상 표시 (Sigma Deviation Highlight)
- 현재 가격이 -1σ 또는 +1σ 범위를 벗어나면 색상으로 표시됩니다.
- 파란색 : 가격이 +1σ 위쪽으로 이탈
- 빨간색 : 가격이 -1σ 아래쪽으로 이탈
- 시그마 범위에서 멀어질수록 색상이 더 진하게 표시됩니다.
- 이는 가격이 예상 변동 범위에서 얼마나 크게 벗어났는지를 빠르게 확인하기 위한 시각적 표시
정렬(Sorting) 방법 (% 컬럼 헤더를 클릭)
- % 모드 (% 버튼 상태) → 예상 변동률 % 기준으로 정렬
- σ 모드 (σ 버튼 상태)
→ 시그마 이탈 정도(Sigma deviation) 기준으로 정렬
→ 가격이 예상 범위에서 가장 크게 벗어난 종목을 빠르게 확인
How to Read the Expected Move Table
- Ticker : Stock/ETF ticker symbol
- Price : Reference closing price (close on the update date)
- % : Weekly 1σ expected move (%)
- -1σ / +1σ : Estimated lower / upper price range for the week
Color Highlight (Sigma Deviation)
- When the current price moves outside the ±1σ range, the row will be highlighted.
- Blue : Price is above +1σ
- Red : Price is below -1σ
- The farther the price moves away from the sigma range, the darker the color becomes.
- This visual highlight helps quickly identify stocks that have moved significantly beyond the expected range.
Sorting (You can sort the table by clicking the % column header.)
- % Mode (% button) → Sort by expected move percentage
- σ Mode (σ button) → Sort by Sigma deviation from the expected range
본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
This table is not a trading signal. It is provided for reference only to help visualize risk (expected price range / volatility).
Daily Expected Move by Sector ETF
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $184.80 | 1.86% | $179.80 | $186.62 |
| XLF | $53.34 | 0.70% | $52.25 | $52.99 |
| XLE | $57.55 | 1.19% | $56.44 | $57.80 |
| XLV | $153.81 | 0.94% | $152.64 | $155.54 |
| XLI | $176.18 | 1.25% | $172.96 | $177.34 |
| XLY | $116.60 | 1.34% | $114.74 | $117.86 |
| XLP | $85.82 | 0.90% | $84.50 | $86.04 |
| XLU | $44.53 | 0.83% | $43.68 | $44.42 |
| XLB | $52.18 | 1.22% | $50.60 | $51.84 |
| XLC | $111.65 | 0.65% | $111.39 | $112.85 |
(Stock Price : 06/12/2026 Close)
XLK : Technology (기술)
XLF : Financials (금융)
XLE : Energy (에너지)
XLV : Health Care (헬스케어)
XLI : Industrials (산업재)
XLY : Consumer Discretionary (경기소비재)
XLP : Consumer Staples (필수소비재)
XLU : Utilities (유틸리티)
XLB : Materials (소재)
XLC : Communication Services (통신/미디어)
XLRE : Real Estate (부동산/리츠)
Daily Expected Move by Ticker
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | $169.05 | 5.84% | $162.69 | $182.87 |
| AAPL | $291.13 | 1.06% | $292.50 | $298.76 |
| ADBE | $204.02 | 7.74% | $201.86 | $235.74 |
| ADI | $417.79 | 2.26% | $402.82 | $421.44 |
| ALAB | $367.15 | 4.90% | $349.46 | $385.48 |
| AMD | $511.57 | 3.20% | $472.82 | $504.08 |
| AMZN | $238.55 | 1.53% | $237.81 | $245.21 |
| ANET | $163.24 | 2.59% | $152.35 | $160.45 |
| APLD | $42.70 | 4.13% | $39.76 | $43.18 |
| APP | $496.77 | 3.22% | $463.16 | $493.98 |
| ARM | $380.81 | 4.42% | $327.10 | $357.36 |
| ASML | $1,863.55 | 2.75% | $1,847.24 | $1,951.72 |
| ASST | $15.15 | 4.39% | $13.94 | $15.22 |
| ASTS | $82.41 | 8.29% | $89.47 | $105.65 |
| AVGO | $382.07 | 2.02% | $377.78 | $393.36 |
| BABA | $112.82 | 1.76% | $110.71 | $114.67 |
| BBAI | $4.02 | 4.12% | $3.97 | $4.31 |
| BE | $260.22 | 4.36% | $238.03 | $259.73 |
| BIDU | $115.77 | 2.25% | $113.50 | $118.72 |
| BLSH | $27.21 | 3.11% | $26.64 | $28.36 |
| BMNR | $16.11 | 3.20% | $15.99 | $17.05 |
| CEG | $253.76 | 2.28% | $241.09 | $252.33 |
| CIEN | $445.98 | 3.86% | $428.03 | $462.41 |
| CIFR | $24.50 | 4.03% | $21.72 | $23.54 |
| CLS | $393.12 | 3.16% | $373.67 | $398.05 |
| CLSK | $16.48 | 3.63% | $15.58 | $16.76 |
| CMCSA | $24.50 | 1.65% | $23.57 | $24.37 |
| COF | $184.73 | 1.47% | $179.36 | $184.72 |
| COHR | $385.03 | 3.96% | $349.18 | $377.98 |
| COIN | $159.78 | 2.91% | $155.76 | $165.10 |
| CRCL | $77.84 | 3.47% | $79.76 | $85.50 |
| CRDO | $250.81 | 5.07% | $251.34 | $278.18 |
| CRM | $165.89 | 2.11% | $162.94 | $169.96 |
| CRSP | $49.80 | 2.83% | $48.81 | $51.65 |
| CRWD | $682.80 | 2.36% | $675.21 | $707.85 |
| CRWV | $100.55 | 4.01% | $91.90 | $99.58 |
| CVNA | $64.10 | 2.94% | $65.83 | $69.81 |
| DDOG | $229.90 | 2.92% | $227.40 | $241.08 |
| DG | $114.80 | 1.75% | $112.34 | $116.34 |
| DUOL | $122.63 | 3.57% | $119.43 | $128.27 |
| ETN | $391.39 | 2.10% | $385.37 | $401.91 |
| FIG | $18.54 | 4.72% | $18.43 | $20.25 |
| GDX | $80.03 | 2.05% | $76.13 | $79.31 |
| GE | $335.30 | 1.62% | $327.37 | $338.15 |
| GEV | $940.66 | 2.08% | $887.93 | $925.65 |
| GLW | $179.20 | 3.64% | $170.12 | $182.98 |
| GOOG | $358.16 | 1.54% | $351.07 | $362.05 |
| HIMS | $26.82 | 3.65% | $27.82 | $29.92 |
| HOOD | $93.19 | 3.40% | $89.09 | $95.37 |
| INOD | $100.90 | 4.69% | $100.42 | $110.30 |
| INTC | $124.57 | 3.84% | $112.47 | $121.45 |
| IONQ | $57.85 | 4.23% | $55.54 | $60.44 |
| IREN | $59.77 | 4.68% | $54.06 | $59.36 |
| IWM | $292.95 | 1.19% | $286.95 | $293.87 |
| JOBY | $9.15 | 4.08% | $8.98 | $9.74 |
| LAC | $4.55 | 4.24% | $4.22 | $4.60 |
| LAES | $3.10 | 6.23% | $3.00 | $3.40 |
| LITE | $921.56 | 4.03% | $853.74 | $925.44 |
| LLY | $1,133.00 | 1.35% | $1,145.28 | $1,176.62 |
| LMND | $57.49 | 2.98% | $55.48 | $58.88 |
| LRCX | $366.81 | 3.51% | $349.80 | $375.24 |
| LULU | $118.77 | 1.72% | $119.74 | $123.94 |
| LUNR | $26.62 | 9.42% | $27.75 | $33.53 |
| MARA | $14.08 | 3.70% | $13.11 | $14.11 |
| META | $566.98 | 1.49% | $559.96 | $576.90 |
| MP | $57.55 | 3.20% | $55.35 | $59.01 |
| MRVL | $279.70 | 4.56% | $267.91 | $293.51 |
| MSFT | $390.74 | 1.54% | $384.33 | $396.35 |
| MSTR | $123.97 | 3.55% | $115.88 | $124.42 |
| MU | $981.61 | 4.34% | $952.65 | $1,039.09 |
| NBIS | $232.36 | 4.79% | $211.59 | $232.89 |
| NEE | $85.99 | 1.22% | $83.80 | $85.88 |
| NFLX | $80.34 | 1.19% | $80.30 | $82.24 |
| NNE | $23.18 | 4.86% | $22.41 | $24.69 |
| NOK | $14.80 | 3.71% | $13.57 | $14.61 |
| NOW | $102.15 | 2.97% | $100.02 | $106.14 |
| NVDA | $205.19 | 1.71% | $201.37 | $208.37 |
| NVO | $43.88 | 1.65% | $43.23 | $44.69 |
| OKLO | $57.49 | 3.90% | $55.60 | $60.12 |
| ONDS | $9.33 | 4.05% | $9.43 | $10.23 |
| OPEN | $4.44 | 3.72% | $4.30 | $4.64 |
| ORCL | $184.13 | 3.10% | $178.39 | $189.81 |
| PFE | $26.21 | 1.10% | $25.88 | $26.46 |
| PLTR | $127.99 | 2.10% | $128.33 | $133.83 |
| POET | $12.53 | 6.96% | $10.47 | $12.03 |
| PONY | $8.15 | 4.38% | $7.94 | $8.66 |
| QBTS | $23.37 | 4.32% | $22.79 | $24.85 |
| QQQ | $721.34 | 1.41% | $707.01 | $727.23 |
| QS | $7.09 | 5.06% | $6.86 | $7.60 |
| QUBT | $9.93 | 4.18% | $9.50 | $10.32 |
| RBLX | $43.31 | 2.69% | $42.32 | $44.66 |
| RCAT | $11.18 | 4.86% | $11.43 | $12.59 |
| RDDT | $162.10 | 2.92% | $168.20 | $178.32 |
| RDW | $15.12 | 9.40% | $15.48 | $18.70 |
| RGTI | $20.98 | 4.82% | $19.64 | $21.62 |
| RKLB | $102.39 | 7.37% | $106.32 | $123.24 |
| SATS | $114.08 | 8.17% | $117.66 | $138.60 |
| SERV | $6.97 | 5.55% | $7.03 | $7.85 |
| SHOP | $108.24 | 2.30% | $107.93 | $113.01 |
| SMCI | $30.46 | 4.56% | $30.51 | $33.43 |
| SMR | $9.89 | 4.01% | $9.19 | $9.95 |
| SNDK | $1,980.10 | 4.56% | $1,795.71 | $1,967.31 |
| SNOW | $232.78 | 2.59% | $234.16 | $246.62 |
| SO | $94.00 | 1.50% | $91.87 | $94.67 |
| SOFI | $16.58 | 2.69% | $16.22 | $17.12 |
| SOUN | $6.90 | 3.43% | $6.76 | $7.24 |
| SOXX | $596.25 | 2.98% | $569.44 | $604.42 |
| SPY | $741.75 | 0.83% | $731.64 | $743.88 |
| TE | $8.50 | 6.63% | $7.91 | $9.03 |
| TEM | $47.82 | 3.56% | $47.82 | $51.36 |
| TER | $403.20 | 3.85% | $366.72 | $396.08 |
| TLN | $360.54 | 3.05% | $334.28 | $355.32 |
| TSLA | $406.43 | 2.87% | $387.69 | $410.61 |
| TSM | $423.93 | 1.98% | $412.73 | $429.41 |
| TTD | $19.28 | 2.60% | $18.41 | $19.39 |
| U | $27.24 | 2.87% | $25.94 | $27.48 |
| UMAC | $24.43 | 5.56% | $24.29 | $27.15 |
| UNH | $408.52 | 1.17% | $400.81 | $410.29 |
| UPST | $30.50 | 3.37% | $30.72 | $32.86 |
| USAR | $21.99 | 4.25% | $21.60 | $23.52 |
| UUUU | $15.04 | 3.71% | $14.52 | $15.64 |
| VRT | $302.87 | 2.73% | $289.75 | $306.01 |
| VST | $148.02 | 2.05% | $143.38 | $149.38 |
| VXX | $24.20 | 2.39% | $24.71 | $25.93 |
| WDC | $562.92 | 3.49% | $510.82 | $547.76 |
| WMT | $121.04 | 1.18% | $119.08 | $121.92 |
| WULF | $26.06 | 4.51% | $24.21 | $26.49 |
(Stock Price : 06/12/2026 Close)
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Expected Move 데이터는 주 2회 정기 업데이트됩니다.
- Weekly Expected Move: 매주 금요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Daily Expected Move: 매주 목요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Price(종가): 매 거래일 장 마감 후 업데이트
종가가 ±σ 범위를 벗어난 경우 표시합니다.
- 종가가 -σ 이하: 티커/Price 빨간색 표시
- 종가가 +σ 이상: 티커/Price 파란색 표시
Expected Move data is updated twice per week on a regular schedule.
- Weekly Expected Move: Updated after market close every Friday
- Daily Expected Move: Updated after market close every Thursday
- Price (Close): Updated after market close on each trading day
If the closing price moves outside the ±σ range, it will be highlighted:
- Close at or below -σ: Ticker/Price shown in red
- Close at or above +σ: Ticker/Price shown in blue
본 콘텐츠는 정보 제공 목적이며, 투자 판단 책임은 사용자 본인에게 있습니다.
This content is provided for informational purposes only, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.