옵션 시장은 “이번 주에 가격이 어느 정도 범위로 움직일 수 있는가?”를 내재 변동성(IV)에 반영합니다.
이 글은 2026년 5월 29일 기준(업데이트 기준일 종가)으로 산출된 Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)를 바탕으로, 이번 주의 리스크(변동 폭)를 구조적으로 정리한 자료입니다.
Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)란?
- Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)는 “향후 1주(해당 주 만기 기준) 동안” 가격이 통계적으로 약 68% 확률로 포함될 수 있는 변동 범위를 의미합니다.
- Daily(0DTE)보다 시간축이 길어 이벤트/실적/매크로가 더 반영되며, 종목 특성에 따라 “완만한 추세” 혹은 “급변 후 안정”처럼 다른 형태로 움직일 수 있습니다.
Expected Move 표 읽는 법
- Ticker : 종목 / ETF 티커(symbol)
- Price : 기준 종가(업데이트 기준일 종가)
- % : Weekly 1σ 기대 변동률
- -1σ / +1σ : 이번 주 예상 하단 / 상단 가격 범위
색상 표시 (Sigma Deviation Highlight)
- 현재 가격이 -1σ 또는 +1σ 범위를 벗어나면 색상으로 표시됩니다.
- 파란색 : 가격이 +1σ 위쪽으로 이탈
- 빨간색 : 가격이 -1σ 아래쪽으로 이탈
- 시그마 범위에서 멀어질수록 색상이 더 진하게 표시됩니다.
- 이는 가격이 예상 변동 범위에서 얼마나 크게 벗어났는지를 빠르게 확인하기 위한 시각적 표시
정렬(Sorting) 방법 (% 컬럼 헤더를 클릭)
- % 모드 (% 버튼 상태) → 예상 변동률 % 기준으로 정렬
- σ 모드 (σ 버튼 상태)
→ 시그마 이탈 정도(Sigma deviation) 기준으로 정렬
→ 가격이 예상 범위에서 가장 크게 벗어난 종목을 빠르게 확인
How to Read the Expected Move Table
- Ticker : Stock/ETF ticker symbol
- Price : Reference closing price (close on the update date)
- % : Weekly 1σ expected move (%)
- -1σ / +1σ : Estimated lower / upper price range for the week
Color Highlight (Sigma Deviation)
- When the current price moves outside the ±1σ range, the row will be highlighted.
- Blue : Price is above +1σ
- Red : Price is below -1σ
- The farther the price moves away from the sigma range, the darker the color becomes.
- This visual highlight helps quickly identify stocks that have moved significantly beyond the expected range.
Sorting (You can sort the table by clicking the % column header.)
- % Mode (% button) → Sort by expected move percentage
- σ Mode (σ button) → Sort by Sigma deviation from the expected range
본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
This table is not a trading signal. It is provided for reference only to help visualize risk (expected price range / volatility).
Weekly Expected Move by Sector ETF
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $191.02 | 2.08% | $176.64 | $184.14 |
| XLF | $51.58 | 1.35% | $51.24 | $52.64 |
| XLE | $56.29 | 3.02% | $57.69 | $61.29 |
| XLV | $149.47 | 1.33% | $147.90 | $151.88 |
| XLI | $173.13 | 1.79% | $168.70 | $174.84 |
| XLY | $120.87 | 1.62% | $117.25 | $121.11 |
| XLP | $82.91 | 1.38% | $83.63 | $85.97 |
| XLU | $44.42 | 1.22% | $44.80 | $45.90 |
| XLB | $51.15 | 1.79% | $49.39 | $51.19 |
| XLC | $115.69 | 1.36% | $113.89 | $117.03 |
(Stock Price : 05/29/2026 Close)
XLK : Technology (기술)
XLF : Financials (금융)
XLE : Energy (에너지)
XLV : Health Care (헬스케어)
XLI : Industrials (산업재)
XLY : Consumer Discretionary (경기소비재)
XLP : Consumer Staples (필수소비재)
XLU : Utilities (유틸리티)
XLB : Materials (소재)
XLC : Communication Services (통신/미디어)
XLRE : Real Estate (부동산/리츠)
Weekly Expected Move by Ticker
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | $158.41 | 11.18% | $161.20 | $201.78 |
| AAPL | $312.06 | 1.73% | $303.48 | $314.16 |
| ADBE | $259.21 | 3.48% | $236.24 | $253.28 |
| ADI | $413.85 | 3.34% | $383.81 | $410.33 |
| ALAB | $342.85 | 8.98% | $279.32 | $334.44 |
| AMD | $516.10 | 6.04% | $439.27 | $495.75 |
| AMZN | $270.64 | 2.42% | $259.88 | $272.76 |
| ANET | $159.47 | 4.35% | $147.33 | $160.73 |
| APLD | $47.28 | 8.55% | $41.95 | $49.79 |
| APP | $613.09 | 5.71% | $454.18 | $509.18 |
| ARM | $353.29 | 7.86% | $282.42 | $330.60 |
| ASML | $1,612.76 | 4.29% | $1,562.85 | $1,702.95 |
| ASST | $17.67 | 8.45% | $16.67 | $19.75 |
| ASTS | $113.41 | 9.29% | $96.03 | $115.69 |
| AVGO | $446.77 | 3.91% | $397.95 | $430.33 |
| BABA | $124.22 | 3.45% | $125.52 | $134.49 |
| BBAI | $5.04 | 7.78% | $3.85 | $4.51 |
| BE | $285.00 | 10.19% | $271.67 | $333.31 |
| BIDU | $135.31 | 4.00% | $122.68 | $132.90 |
| BLSH | $34.91 | 6.04% | $33.06 | $37.30 |
| BMNR | $19.27 | 5.52% | $17.84 | $19.92 |
| CEG | $287.75 | 3.88% | $282.66 | $305.48 |
| CIEN | $580.23 | 7.49% | $540.02 | $627.46 |
| CIFR | $23.65 | 8.46% | $20.11 | $23.83 |
| CLS | $385.39 | 6.06% | $345.11 | $389.63 |
| CLSK | $18.29 | 7.44% | $14.78 | $17.16 |
| CMCSA | $24.87 | 2.51% | $24.58 | $25.84 |
| COF | $187.93 | 2.73% | $182.66 | $192.92 |
| COHR | $361.47 | 7.46% | $349.40 | $405.74 |
| COIN | $189.03 | 5.38% | $175.04 | $194.94 |
| CRCL | $113.00 | 7.39% | $104.76 | $121.48 |
| CRDO | $236.03 | 9.17% | $198.38 | $238.44 |
| CRM | $191.10 | 7.36% | $166.82 | $193.32 |
| CRSP | $56.18 | 4.21% | $48.24 | $52.48 |
| CRWD | $731.00 | 4.60% | $632.94 | $693.98 |
| CRWV | $109.53 | 7.28% | $97.81 | $113.17 |
| CVNA | $73.00 | 5.83% | $64.30 | $72.26 |
| DDOG | $247.35 | 5.09% | $211.00 | $233.64 |
| DG | $110.61 | 4.16% | $101.25 | $110.05 |
| DUOL | $111.36 | 5.02% | $101.26 | $111.96 |
| ETN | $400.60 | 3.12% | $379.14 | $403.56 |
| FIG | $25.50 | 7.22% | $21.07 | $24.35 |
| GDX | $89.49 | 3.87% | $81.73 | $88.31 |
| GE | $323.76 | 3.87% | $291.12 | $314.56 |
| GEV | $968.32 | 4.34% | $993.66 | $1,083.82 |
| GLW | $181.16 | 6.33% | $181.77 | $206.33 |
| GOOG | $376.43 | 2.32% | $370.58 | $388.18 |
| HIMS | $26.15 | 6.12% | $22.30 | $25.20 |
| HOOD | $94.30 | 4.83% | $70.08 | $77.20 |
| INOD | $104.98 | 8.03% | $87.81 | $103.15 |
| INTC | $114.68 | 7.04% | $111.40 | $128.28 |
| IONQ | $72.07 | 9.37% | $57.68 | $69.60 |
| IREN | $63.54 | 8.47% | $52.02 | $61.64 |
| IWM | $290.43 | 1.91% | $279.67 | $290.57 |
| JOBY | $11.90 | 6.70% | $10.19 | $11.65 |
| LAC | $5.21 | 6.91% | $4.53 | $5.21 |
| LAES | $3.48 | 7.69% | $3.12 | $3.64 |
| LITE | $854.96 | 7.55% | $875.41 | $1,018.39 |
| LLY | $1,105.00 | 2.73% | $1,035.93 | $1,094.07 |
| LMND | $58.00 | 5.68% | $53.31 | $59.73 |
| LRCX | $318.18 | 5.32% | $289.11 | $321.59 |
| LULU | $131.18 | 3.64% | $122.55 | $131.81 |
| LUNR | $43.83 | 11.91% | $33.70 | $42.82 |
| MARA | $14.38 | 6.85% | $12.86 | $14.76 |
| META | $632.51 | 2.48% | $595.13 | $625.39 |
| MP | $64.70 | 6.26% | $60.42 | $68.50 |
| MRVL | $205.00 | 11.45% | $173.85 | $218.81 |
| MSFT | $450.24 | 2.26% | $409.11 | $428.03 |
| MSTR | $159.09 | 5.26% | $151.48 | $168.30 |
| MU | $971.00 | 7.41% | $695.35 | $806.65 |
| NBIS | $231.09 | 8.54% | $196.43 | $233.11 |
| NEE | $87.01 | 2.07% | $86.72 | $90.38 |
| NFLX | $86.02 | 2.46% | $86.42 | $90.78 |
| NNE | $28.88 | 7.95% | $24.60 | $28.86 |
| NOK | $14.84 | 6.82% | $14.41 | $16.53 |
| NOW | $124.37 | 5.18% | $96.84 | $107.42 |
| NVDA | $211.14 | 3.34% | $208.14 | $222.52 |
| NVO | $45.58 | 3.06% | $43.58 | $46.34 |
| OKLO | $66.88 | 7.46% | $60.97 | $70.79 |
| ONDS | $13.22 | 6.92% | $8.43 | $9.69 |
| OPEN | $5.04 | 5.87% | $4.26 | $4.80 |
| ORCL | $225.78 | 4.64% | $183.17 | $200.99 |
| PFE | $26.18 | 1.70% | $25.46 | $26.34 |
| PLTR | $156.54 | 3.77% | $131.72 | $142.04 |
| POET | $12.29 | 12.88% | $12.71 | $16.47 |
| PONY | $10.03 | 10.65% | $7.97 | $9.87 |
| QBTS | $30.14 | 10.75% | $26.24 | $32.56 |
| QQQ | $738.31 | 1.72% | $705.20 | $729.88 |
| QS | $8.98 | 7.30% | $7.60 | $8.80 |
| QUBT | $11.96 | 9.98% | $11.08 | $13.54 |
| RBLX | $47.15 | 5.51% | $45.51 | $50.81 |
| RCAT | $14.50 | 7.51% | $8.70 | $10.12 |
| RDDT | $176.00 | 5.17% | $134.35 | $148.99 |
| RDW | $24.57 | 11.87% | $15.41 | $19.57 |
| RGTI | $25.54 | 11.94% | $23.27 | $29.57 |
| RKLB | $143.48 | 8.62% | $124.06 | $147.46 |
| SATS | $129.19 | 6.38% | $116.28 | $132.12 |
| SERV | $9.35 | 6.96% | $8.09 | $9.31 |
| SHOP | $118.71 | 4.57% | $98.29 | $107.71 |
| SMCI | $46.09 | 6.61% | $33.23 | $37.93 |
| SMR | $12.67 | 8.48% | $10.43 | $12.37 |
| SNDK | $1,694.98 | 8.28% | $1,356.25 | $1,601.11 |
| SNOW | $255.55 | 11.55% | $152.31 | $192.09 |
| SO | $92.05 | 1.44% | $93.19 | $95.91 |
| SOFI | $18.22 | 4.23% | $14.96 | $16.28 |
| SOUN | $9.00 | 6.17% | $7.67 | $8.67 |
| SOXX | $569.08 | 4.06% | $515.51 | $559.15 |
| SPY | $756.48 | 1.18% | $736.84 | $754.44 |
| TE | $10.56 | 13.72% | $6.97 | $9.19 |
| TEM | $50.47 | 5.63% | $43.58 | $48.78 |
| TER | $374.31 | 6.07% | $336.68 | $380.20 |
| TLN | $386.80 | 5.06% | $353.60 | $391.30 |
| TSLA | $435.79 | 3.62% | $410.59 | $441.43 |
| TSM | $418.45 | 3.64% | $389.80 | $419.24 |
| TTD | $21.56 | 5.26% | $21.20 | $23.56 |
| U | $30.47 | 5.41% | $24.19 | $26.95 |
| UMAC | $31.78 | 9.31% | $15.22 | $18.34 |
| UNH | $380.31 | 2.26% | $379.69 | $397.25 |
| UPST | $33.79 | 5.94% | $26.86 | $30.26 |
| USAR | $28.01 | 9.02% | $23.02 | $27.58 |
| UUUU | $18.22 | 7.35% | $16.71 | $19.37 |
| VRT | $315.71 | 5.46% | $309.58 | $345.34 |
| VST | $160.23 | 4.31% | $149.53 | $163.01 |
| VXX | $24.14 | 3.88% | $25.39 | $27.45 |
| WDC | $531.21 | 6.69% | $451.88 | $516.68 |
| WMT | $115.75 | 2.16% | $117.67 | $122.87 |
| WULF | $25.56 | 7.45% | $21.12 | $24.52 |
(Stock Price : 05/29/2026 Close)
레버리지 ETF 계산기 보기 / Explore Leveraged ETF Calculators
Index Leveraged ETF Calculator
( QQQ • SOXX • IWM )
Mega-Cap Leveraged ETF Cal 1
( TSLA • META • AAPL )
Mega-Cap Leveraged ETF Cal 2
( NVDA • MSFT • AMZN )
AI/Momentum Leveraged ETF Cal 1
( AVGO • ORCL • IONQ )
Expected Move 데이터는 주 2회 정기 업데이트됩니다.
- Weekly Expected Move: 매주 금요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Daily Expected Move: 매주 목요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Price(종가): 매 거래일 장 마감 후 업데이트
Expected Move data is updated twice per week on a regular schedule.
- Weekly Expected Move: Updated after market close every Friday
- Daily Expected Move: Updated after market close every Thursday
- Price (Close): Updated after market close on each trading day
본 콘텐츠는 정보 제공 목적이며, 투자 판단 책임은 사용자 본인에게 있습니다.
This content is provided for informational purposes only, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.