옵션 시장은 “이번 주에 가격이 어느 정도 범위로 움직일 수 있는가?”를 내재 변동성(IV)에 반영합니다.
이 글은 2026년 6월 12일 기준(업데이트 기준일 종가)으로 산출된 Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)를 바탕으로, 이번 주의 리스크(변동 폭)를 구조적으로 정리한 자료입니다.
Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)란?
- Weekly Expected Move(±1σ)는 “향후 1주(해당 주 만기 기준) 동안” 가격이 통계적으로 약 68% 확률로 포함될 수 있는 변동 범위를 의미합니다.
- Daily(0DTE)보다 시간축이 길어 이벤트/실적/매크로가 더 반영되며, 종목 특성에 따라 “완만한 추세” 혹은 “급변 후 안정”처럼 다른 형태로 움직일 수 있습니다.
Expected Move 표 읽는 법
- Ticker : 종목 / ETF 티커(symbol)
- Price : 기준 종가(업데이트 기준일 종가)
- % : Weekly 1σ 기대 변동률
- -1σ / +1σ : 이번 주 예상 하단 / 상단 가격 범위
색상 표시 (Sigma Deviation Highlight)
- 현재 가격이 -1σ 또는 +1σ 범위를 벗어나면 색상으로 표시됩니다.
- 파란색 : 가격이 +1σ 위쪽으로 이탈
- 빨간색 : 가격이 -1σ 아래쪽으로 이탈
- 시그마 범위에서 멀어질수록 색상이 더 진하게 표시됩니다.
- 이는 가격이 예상 변동 범위에서 얼마나 크게 벗어났는지를 빠르게 확인하기 위한 시각적 표시
정렬(Sorting) 방법 (% 컬럼 헤더를 클릭)
- % 모드 (% 버튼 상태) → 예상 변동률 % 기준으로 정렬
- σ 모드 (σ 버튼 상태)
→ 시그마 이탈 정도(Sigma deviation) 기준으로 정렬
→ 가격이 예상 범위에서 가장 크게 벗어난 종목을 빠르게 확인
How to Read the Expected Move Table
- Ticker : Stock/ETF ticker symbol
- Price : Reference closing price (close on the update date)
- % : Weekly 1σ expected move (%)
- -1σ / +1σ : Estimated lower / upper price range for the week
Color Highlight (Sigma Deviation)
- When the current price moves outside the ±1σ range, the row will be highlighted.
- Blue : Price is above +1σ
- Red : Price is below -1σ
- The farther the price moves away from the sigma range, the darker the color becomes.
- This visual highlight helps quickly identify stocks that have moved significantly beyond the expected range.
Sorting (You can sort the table by clicking the % column header.)
- % Mode (% button) → Sort by expected move percentage
- σ Mode (σ button) → Sort by Sigma deviation from the expected range
본 표는 매매 신호가 아니라 리스크(변동 폭) 가시화 목적의 참고 자료입니다.
This table is not a trading signal. It is provided for reference only to help visualize risk (expected price range / volatility).
Weekly Expected Move by Sector ETF
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLK | $184.80 | 3.41% | $174.15 | $186.45 |
| XLF | $53.34 | 1.69% | $51.42 | $53.18 |
| XLE | $57.55 | 2.62% | $56.16 | $59.18 |
| XLV | $153.81 | 1.96% | $150.01 | $156.01 |
| XLI | $176.18 | 2.25% | $170.26 | $178.10 |
| XLY | $116.60 | 2.40% | $112.10 | $117.62 |
| XLP | $85.82 | 1.65% | $82.06 | $84.82 |
| XLU | $44.53 | 1.65% | $43.62 | $45.08 |
| XLB | $52.18 | 1.83% | $49.70 | $51.56 |
| XLC | $111.65 | 1.84% | $109.62 | $113.72 |
(Stock Price : 06/12/2026 Close)
XLK : Technology (기술)
XLF : Financials (금융)
XLE : Energy (에너지)
XLV : Health Care (헬스케어)
XLI : Industrials (산업재)
XLY : Consumer Discretionary (경기소비재)
XLP : Consumer Staples (필수소비재)
XLU : Utilities (유틸리티)
XLB : Materials (소재)
XLC : Communication Services (통신/미디어)
XLRE : Real Estate (부동산/리츠)
Weekly Expected Move by Ticker
| Ticker | Price | % | -1σ | +1σ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | $169.05 | 14.36% | $151.58 | $202.42 |
| AAPL | $291.13 | 2.95% | $298.27 | $316.41 |
| ADBE | $204.02 | 8.23% | $230.75 | $272.13 |
| ADI | $417.79 | 5.08% | $381.00 | $421.78 |
| ALAB | $367.15 | 10.47% | $283.86 | $350.26 |
| AMD | $511.57 | 7.00% | $433.73 | $499.03 |
| AMZN | $238.55 | 3.39% | $237.69 | $254.37 |
| ANET | $163.24 | 6.08% | $144.89 | $163.65 |
| APLD | $42.70 | 9.69% | $35.78 | $43.46 |
| APP | $496.77 | 6.88% | $518.86 | $595.54 |
| ARM | $380.81 | 9.63% | $309.91 | $375.95 |
| ASML | $1,863.55 | 5.15% | $1,557.19 | $1,726.29 |
| ASST | $15.15 | 10.56% | $12.45 | $15.39 |
| ASTS | $82.41 | 11.96% | $82.41 | $104.79 |
| AVGO | $382.07 | 5.72% | $363.67 | $407.79 |
| BABA | $112.82 | 3.92% | $116.31 | $125.81 |
| BBAI | $4.02 | 8.10% | $3.86 | $4.54 |
| BE | $260.22 | 12.26% | $231.29 | $295.93 |
| BIDU | $115.77 | 5.44% | $115.04 | $128.28 |
| BLSH | $27.21 | 6.94% | $25.09 | $28.83 |
| BMNR | $16.11 | 8.00% | $14.63 | $17.17 |
| CEG | $253.76 | 4.45% | $243.49 | $266.17 |
| CIEN | $445.98 | 8.56% | $446.42 | $530.00 |
| CIFR | $24.50 | 10.98% | $19.98 | $24.92 |
| CLS | $393.12 | 8.15% | $341.42 | $402.00 |
| CLSK | $16.48 | 9.92% | $14.04 | $17.14 |
| CMCSA | $24.50 | 3.79% | $22.92 | $24.72 |
| COF | $184.73 | 3.20% | $174.89 | $186.45 |
| COHR | $385.03 | 10.24% | $338.39 | $415.59 |
| COIN | $159.78 | 7.08% | $141.61 | $163.19 |
| CRCL | $77.84 | 8.46% | $73.49 | $87.07 |
| CRDO | $250.81 | 11.52% | $183.06 | $230.72 |
| CRM | $165.89 | 4.53% | $177.25 | $194.07 |
| CRSP | $49.80 | 5.19% | $49.15 | $54.53 |
| CRWD | $682.80 | 5.48% | $634.25 | $707.79 |
| CRWV | $100.55 | 8.70% | $91.66 | $109.12 |
| CVNA | $64.10 | 6.81% | $61.98 | $71.04 |
| DDOG | $229.90 | 6.50% | $218.89 | $249.33 |
| DG | $114.80 | 3.75% | $99.81 | $107.59 |
| DUOL | $122.63 | 5.51% | $103.02 | $115.04 |
| ETN | $391.39 | 4.07% | $379.83 | $412.05 |
| FIG | $18.54 | 7.94% | $20.02 | $23.48 |
| GDX | $80.03 | 4.51% | $75.28 | $82.40 |
| GE | $335.30 | 3.41% | $316.82 | $339.18 |
| GEV | $940.66 | 4.74% | $889.36 | $977.86 |
| GLW | $179.20 | 7.97% | $163.43 | $191.73 |
| GOOG | $358.16 | 3.38% | $353.40 | $378.12 |
| HIMS | $26.82 | 8.19% | $24.05 | $28.33 |
| HOOD | $93.19 | 7.03% | $76.67 | $88.27 |
| INOD | $100.90 | 11.81% | $89.93 | $114.01 |
| INTC | $124.57 | 8.30% | $90.94 | $107.40 |
| IONQ | $57.85 | 10.14% | $51.02 | $62.54 |
| IREN | $59.77 | 11.32% | $48.20 | $60.50 |
| IWM | $292.95 | 2.40% | $274.89 | $288.41 |
| JOBY | $9.15 | 7.89% | $8.80 | $10.30 |
| LAC | $4.55 | 7.28% | $4.20 | $4.86 |
| LAES | $3.10 | 11.26% | $2.84 | $3.56 |
| LITE | $921.56 | 9.45% | $782.04 | $945.28 |
| LLY | $1,133.00 | 3.39% | $1,093.06 | $1,169.78 |
| LMND | $57.49 | 6.79% | $47.97 | $54.95 |
| LRCX | $366.81 | 6.68% | $283.02 | $323.54 |
| LULU | $118.77 | 4.30% | $109.32 | $119.14 |
| LUNR | $26.62 | 12.34% | $25.74 | $32.98 |
| MARA | $14.08 | 8.45% | $11.28 | $13.36 |
| META | $566.98 | 3.71% | $571.00 | $615.00 |
| MP | $57.55 | 6.81% | $55.15 | $63.21 |
| MRVL | $279.70 | 13.19% | $228.72 | $298.22 |
| MSFT | $390.74 | 3.07% | $403.88 | $429.46 |
| MSTR | $123.97 | 8.92% | $109.70 | $131.18 |
| MU | $981.61 | 9.91% | $778.39 | $949.63 |
| NBIS | $232.36 | 11.66% | $201.25 | $254.37 |
| NEE | $85.99 | 2.40% | $83.78 | $87.90 |
| NFLX | $80.34 | 2.98% | $79.73 | $84.63 |
| NNE | $23.18 | 9.03% | $21.43 | $25.69 |
| NOK | $14.80 | 8.59% | $13.14 | $15.62 |
| NOW | $102.15 | 6.54% | $105.10 | $119.80 |
| NVDA | $205.19 | 4.18% | $196.53 | $213.67 |
| NVO | $43.88 | 3.76% | $41.34 | $44.58 |
| OKLO | $57.49 | 9.39% | $52.64 | $63.54 |
| ONDS | $9.33 | 8.89% | $9.50 | $11.36 |
| OPEN | $4.44 | 8.39% | $4.05 | $4.79 |
| ORCL | $184.13 | 11.03% | $190.11 | $237.25 |
| PFE | $26.21 | 2.38% | $25.42 | $26.66 |
| PLTR | $127.99 | 4.78% | $129.05 | $142.01 |
| POET | $12.53 | 13.76% | $10.23 | $13.49 |
| PONY | $8.15 | 6.81% | $8.03 | $9.21 |
| QBTS | $23.37 | 10.19% | $21.42 | $26.28 |
| QQQ | $721.34 | 2.71% | $685.95 | $724.17 |
| QS | $7.09 | 9.35% | $6.95 | $8.39 |
| QUBT | $9.93 | 9.79% | $8.98 | $10.94 |
| RBLX | $43.31 | 6.71% | $39.01 | $44.63 |
| RCAT | $11.18 | 9.98% | $11.41 | $13.95 |
| RDDT | $162.10 | 7.38% | $160.65 | $186.25 |
| RDW | $15.12 | 15.61% | $15.57 | $21.33 |
| RGTI | $20.98 | 11.70% | $18.26 | $23.10 |
| RKLB | $102.39 | 10.76% | $98.24 | $121.92 |
| SATS | $114.08 | 10.46% | $104.12 | $128.44 |
| SERV | $6.97 | 8.96% | $7.06 | $8.44 |
| SHOP | $108.24 | 6.05% | $102.91 | $116.17 |
| SMCI | $30.46 | 7.90% | $38.35 | $44.93 |
| SMR | $9.89 | 10.13% | $9.44 | $11.56 |
| SNDK | $1,980.10 | 10.37% | $1,397.62 | $1,721.02 |
| SNOW | $232.78 | 5.89% | $224.23 | $252.29 |
| SO | $94.00 | 2.02% | $90.73 | $94.47 |
| SOFI | $16.58 | 5.59% | $15.13 | $16.93 |
| SOUN | $6.90 | 7.80% | $6.81 | $7.97 |
| SOXX | $596.25 | 6.05% | $507.11 | $572.43 |
| SPY | $741.75 | 1.71% | $724.94 | $750.16 |
| TE | $8.50 | 13.95% | $8.11 | $10.75 |
| TEM | $47.82 | 7.10% | $43.13 | $49.73 |
| TER | $403.20 | 8.16% | $328.72 | $387.14 |
| TLN | $360.54 | 6.09% | $342.53 | $386.95 |
| TSLA | $406.43 | 5.09% | $371.10 | $410.90 |
| TSM | $423.93 | 5.04% | $394.25 | $436.09 |
| TTD | $19.28 | 6.25% | $18.70 | $21.20 |
| U | $27.24 | 7.04% | $27.12 | $31.22 |
| UMAC | $24.43 | 11.85% | $23.54 | $29.86 |
| UNH | $408.52 | 2.66% | $388.84 | $410.10 |
| UPST | $30.50 | 7.43% | $27.53 | $31.95 |
| USAR | $21.99 | 10.24% | $20.17 | $24.77 |
| UUUU | $15.04 | 8.72% | $13.51 | $16.09 |
| VRT | $302.87 | 7.27% | $278.66 | $322.36 |
| VST | $148.02 | 4.87% | $141.52 | $156.00 |
| VXX | $24.20 | 5.77% | $23.76 | $26.66 |
| WDC | $562.92 | 8.55% | $467.97 | $555.47 |
| WMT | $121.04 | 2.51% | $115.90 | $121.86 |
| WULF | $26.06 | 9.14% | $21.81 | $26.19 |
(Stock Price : 06/12/2026 Close)
레버리지 ETF 계산기 보기 / Explore Leveraged ETF Calculators
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Expected Move 데이터는 주 2회 정기 업데이트됩니다.
- Weekly Expected Move: 매주 금요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Daily Expected Move: 매주 목요일 장 마감 후 업데이트
- Price(종가): 매 거래일 장 마감 후 업데이트
Expected Move data is updated twice per week on a regular schedule.
- Weekly Expected Move: Updated after market close every Friday
- Daily Expected Move: Updated after market close every Thursday
- Price (Close): Updated after market close on each trading day
본 콘텐츠는 정보 제공 목적이며, 투자 판단 책임은 사용자 본인에게 있습니다.
This content is provided for informational purposes only, and you are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.